{"id":2713,"date":"2019-10-17T14:19:10","date_gmt":"2019-10-17T18:19:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cga2026.acartdev.com\/submissions\/canadian-gas-association-open-response-to-cbc-article-by-kim-brunhuber-climate-changes-next-target-your-gas-range\/"},"modified":"2020-06-01T12:56:43","modified_gmt":"2020-06-01T16:56:43","slug":"canadian-gas-association-open-response-to-cbc-article-by-kim-brunhuber-climate-changes-next-target-your-gas-range","status":"publish","type":"submissions","link":"https:\/\/cga2026.acartdev.com\/fr\/submissions\/canadian-gas-association-open-response-to-cbc-article-by-kim-brunhuber-climate-changes-next-target-your-gas-range\/","title":{"rendered":"Canadian Gas Association Open Response to CBC article by Kim Brunhuber \u201cClimate Change\u2019s Next Target \u2013 Your Gas Range\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kim Brunhuber\u2019s article is another in a line of comments suggesting the electrification of our energy use would be straightforward. We at the Canadian Gas Association disagree. To put some independent analysis into the discussion we commissioned ICF to examine\u00a0electrification under various scenarios in Canada<\/a>.\u00a0 The conclusions of their work make it clear that electrification would be extremely expensive, and of limited benefit for emission reductions versus a more cost-effective approach that would integrate both gas and electric energy delivery systems.<\/p>\n

In Canada, electricity currently represents roughly 20 per cent of energy end-use with natural gas delivering 35 per cent and the balance coming from liquid fuels (40 per cent) and biomass\/other fuels (5 per cent). The ICF analysis looked at electrifying roughly half of the non-electric portion, so that we would have approximately 60 per cent of end-use energy being met by electricity (to go to 100 per cent electrification was deemed too challenging a prospect at present).\u00a0 At a 60 per cent level electrification presents some daunting numbers:<\/p>\n

Electrification will require a massive build out of new infrastructure:\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>Fuel switching to electricity of an additional 40 per cent of our end use would require an expansion from 141 gigawatts (GW) of generating capacity today, to between 278 GW and 422 GW of capacity by 2050, depending on the electrification strategy deployed. That represents as much as a tripling of generation capacity to meet peak demand on the energy system. That is the equivalent of hundreds of nuclear reactors.
\n
\n<\/u>The infrastructure required will be enormously expensive:\u00a0<\/strong>The expansion, along with the associated incremental costs of energy, electric technology adoption, new transmission infrastructure, etc, could increase national energy costs by between $580 billion and $1.4 trillion over the 30 year period between 2020 and 2050. That is a conservative assessment \u2013 and again, does not represent total electrification.<\/u><\/p>\n

The expense for the average Canadian household will be very large:\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>The cost is equivalent to increasing average Canadian household spending by $1,300 to $3,200 per year.\u00a0<\/strong>The study used cost-conservative assumptions related to the improvement of electric technologies (e.g., heat pumps) and assumed steep reductions in the heating loads of residential and commercial buildings: so in fact the capacity requirements and associated costs could be significantly higher.<\/p>\n

Environmental policy goals can be pursued at significantly lower cost through a multi-grid approach that integrates natural gas solutions with the electric system rather than an electric-only option:\u00a0<\/strong>GHG reduction policies that entirely favour electricity over multi-grid approaches are significantly more costly (at $289 \/tCO2<\/sub>\u00a0for electric alone vs $129 \/tCO2<\/sub>\u00a0for integrated systems). Canada\u2019s existing natural gas and electricity systems and existing infrastructure working together can be optimized for a reliable, affordable, low emissions solution.<\/p>\n

With the study complete, we at the CGA want to broadcast the results and start a conversation about what they mean as we look to our energy future.\u00a0 What we know today is that the Canadian energy market is demonstrating a strong demand for continued and expanded use of natural gas.\u00a0 This isn\u2019t a surprise: heating with it saves homes and businesses a lot of money \u2013 as much as $3,000 per year over alternatives for the average family. In addition, natural gas infrastructure is incredibly reliable \u2013 it wasn\u2019t gas customers in California or Nova Scotia who lost service in recent outages because of fires and hurricanes \u2013 it was electricity customers. And, the emissions from gas use are declining today, in part because of how we focus on energy efficiency (a home today uses 30 per cent less natural gas than one just 15 years ago, with more reductions anticipated), and in part because other innovations in fuel options (renewable natural gas and hydrogen) and other technologies (like CO2 recovery) are a priority.<\/p>\n

Add to that the great promise for Canada\u2019s natural gas in other areas: \u00a0in transportation markets where we are deploying compressed and liquefied natural gas (CNG and LNG) in marine, trucking, rail and off-road applications; in the use of LNG and CNG to deliver reliable, affordable, low-emission energy in northern communities and industries; and of course in global markets, where Canadian natural gas can help bring millions out of poverty and deliver clean air benefits.<\/p>\n

There is much talk of crisis around energy and environmental questions in Canada today \u2013 talk that is rarely helpful. What Canadians deserve is more talk of practical cost-effective solutions to real challenges. Natural gas delivery offers just such a solution. It is critical today, and will be valuable for the long-term as part of an energy future for Canada where emissions continue to decline, prices stay affordable for families and businesses, and our know-how takes opportunity to the world.<\/p>\n

Timothy M. Egan<\/strong>
\nPresident and CEO
\nCanadian Gas Association<\/p>\n

PDF Format of this letter is available here<\/a><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/world\/climate-change-natural-gas-stove-range-1.5313295<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"feature":[],"class_list":["post-2713","submissions","type-submissions","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCanadian Gas Association Open Response to CBC article by Kim Brunhuber \u201cClimate Change\u2019s Next Target \u2013 Your Gas Range\u201d | Canadian Gas Association<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cga2026.acartdev.com\/fr\/submissions\/canadian-gas-association-open-response-to-cbc-article-by-kim-brunhuber-climate-changes-next-target-your-gas-range\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Canadian Gas Association Open Response to CBC article by Kim Brunhuber \u201cClimate Change\u2019s Next Target \u2013 Your Gas Range\u201d | Canadian Gas Association\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kim Brunhuber\u2019s article is another in a line of comments suggesting the electrification of our energy use would be straightforward. 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